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Saturday, 30 October 2010

HUNGARY IS A FAILED STATE. OVER. EXTINCT.

 

Vatic Note: This is going on world wide. Its bigger than we can imagine, and seriously dangerous to our entire species. If they succeed in genetically manipulating us into oblivion, the human race will be no more, and history books will be purged of our existance. Genocide, and end of a species if the result, if this gets out of control. Remember in Israel Healthy sperm count is down 40% in less than 10 years at the time of the study. Remember also, Bill Gates has admitted on tape that Vaccines are what they intend to use to continue this sterilization process. Remember also the US has refused to clean up DU poisoning in Bosnia, Serbia, Iraq and elsewhere which has had an impact on sperm count, deformed babies, and ultimately death as we saw from the report yesterday that more soldiers die from suicide than killed in all three wars. Then we saw the affects of the DU poisoning, on a blog we did . Then we have the gulf with outrageous quantities of corexit being used which is a killer chemical. This is a serious subject that needs study about exactly what is going on and who is doing it. I think we already know once you read this and realize eastern Europe has now fully fallen under the control of the Rothschild nazi fascist empire and that is where the worst of this is happening outside of Israel which is Rothschild's kingdom according to the Israeli's. He is their king.
What this is is an undeclared war against the worlds population and its now fully in play given all the above and the timing and coordination. Add to that the attack on our DNA, on synthetic DNA, on cloning, and we have massive works in progress on Eugenics funded by the Rockefeller foundation. Think about the FDA's role as well, that approved a drug that was banned in 160 countries, why? Why would the FDA do that? Its more than just profits. This is so whatever population is left, will be cattle as promised by the Protocols, see Protocol, 3a . It appears the Protocols are becoming even more important as things begin to unfold and become exposed to the light of day. In the end remember Goldman Sachs is the operational arm of the Rothschild international banking empire. So we know who the enemy is now. Its certainly not the disorganized muslims, now is it???
HUNGARY IS A FAILED STATE. OVER. EXTINCT.
http://www.veteranstoday.com/2010/10/23/hungary-is-a-failed-state-over-extinct/
October 23, 2010 posted by Bob Nichols, provided to Vatic Project by Dick Chardet, Kali-Yuga Report
AN ECOLOGICAL DISASTER IN HUNGARY
(San Francisco) Hungary’s been abused for centuries and survived. Never before have the abusers gone after the most defenseless – the unborn and babies with hammer and tongs.
Hungary is a failed state, pushed to extinction; the men’s sperm killed off and the women’s germ cells fried as the next generation, as yet unborn, is killed in the womb. They never even had a chance.

Hungary and toxic red mud
Radiologically exterminated by pitiful, cowardly “war fighters” like the American President George Bush and their own Hungarian crony capitalists/politicians – Sonderkommandos all.
These cowardly creatures would push their own families into Nazi ovens for a “shower” with the rat poison Zyklon B, and smile at the Nazi executioners all the time. Their pay, however, is extinction; Sonders never learn.
Dying Hungary’s Latest Disaster.
A little after noon on Oct 4, 2010, 810 acre feet or 35.3 Million Gallons of toxic red sludge from decades of refining bauxite into aluminum at the Hungarian Aluminum Co flooded with a 6 ft wall of poisonous red mud the nearby towns of Kolontár, Devecser and Somlóvásárhely along the Torna creek.
More Pictures of the Environmental Disaster in Hungary from Reader Ken A’s Comment below.
http://www.n-tv.de/mediathek/bilderserien/panorama/Chemie-Katastrophe-in-Ungarn-article1663191.html
Nine people were killed and 120 seriously chemically burned as the mud spread out over 15 square miles. It moved slowly down the Torna Creek to the Danube River 45 miles (76 km) away. The manager of the plant, the billionaire owner’s son, spent three days in the slammer and was subsequently released for “lack of evidence.”
Frantic government Emergency workers poured thousands of tons of plaster and ascetic acid into the water to try to lower the telltale PH before it hit the Danube River.
The Hungarian Water Regulation Authority estimated Tuesday, Oct 5, it would take the sludge about five days to reach the Danube, one of Europe’s key waterways. From Hungary, the Danube flows through Croatia, Serbia, Romania, Bulgaria, Ukraine and Moldova before emptying into the Black Sea.
The Danube is 1,775 miles (2,850 kilometers) long and is Europe’s second largest river. It provides water for communities and factories downstream. Many water intakes would shut down from the high PH. The government cover up of the extremely high PH of 13 will enable complicit officials downstream to use the water by testing for PH only and give it to their communities anyway.
The water is still poisoned. The Association Internationale pour la Protection contre les Rayons Ionisants, AIPRI in Italy reports the following poisons and radiological materials are in the red sludge:
Arsenic – 55 tonnes, A Lethal Dose is 200 milligrams, there were 275 million potentially lethal doses discharged.
Antimony – 20 tonnes
Chromium – 330 tonnes,
Mercury – 650 kg
Nickel – 135 tonnes
Cadmium – 3.5 tonnes
Uranium 238 – 13.5 tonnes
Uranium 235 – About 86 kg
Thorium 232 – 37 tonnes
These chemical and radiological poisons will dry out and turn into a finely divided poisonous dust as the wind moves over Central Europe.
Shock and Awe with Uranium Munitions.
President George Bush’s Shock and Awe radioactive dust cloud was picked up on high volume air filters surrounding the AWE, or Atomic Weapons Establishment, in Aldermaston, England nine days after the bombing began with uranium munitions in Baghdad, Iraq. Presumably Hungary was on the transit route.
Humans breathe about seventeen times a minute, on average. Whatever fine dust particles are in the air, radioactive poisons or not, we breathe those in, too. Individual humans have not developed any way to detect and avoid radioactive dust. Governments may know of radiological dangers; but, seldom tell residents.
Chernobyl, Mayak dust is still in the air.
The No 4 reactor at Chernobyl blew up on 26 April 1986. Russians still believe that US Intelligence Agencies had a hand in the disaster. Hungary got its share of the reactor core. The effect on fertility was immediate and profound.
About 30 years before Chernobyl a far larger radioactive disaster occurred at the the USSR H-Bomb factory complex at Mayak. The Plutonium 239 fires and “accidents” were numerous and disastrous. Hungary got its share of the air borne radioactive poisons from Mayak.
Fertility plummets. Extinction looms for Hungary.
As a result of these big disasters and innumerable small ones involving long lived environmental poisons, the Hungarian territory is contaminated. The effect on men’s sperm and women’s egg cells is cumulative and irreversible. As a result, the number of children successfully conceived, brought to full term inside the mother and born alive has plummeted.
This is expressed in statistics as the Number of Children born to each Woman in a population. Two children born to each woman is enough to replace the parents. Three kids or more and the total population grows. Less than two kids and the population shrinks. Hungary’s Total Fertility Rate, or TFR, for the past ten years from CIA statistics is:
Year Total fertility rate )
2000 1.25
2001 1.25
2002 1.25
2003 1.25
2004 1.31
2005 1.32
2006 1.32
2007 1.33
2008 1.34
2009 1.35
Many experts feel that this is a slow moving extinction for the Hungarians. They cannot recover from this.
What does this Mean?
The vampire traders at the pirate bank Goldman Sachs may look at the Hungarian poisonings as a buying opportunity for another castle or two, and I say let them and say Good Riddance. Chemical poisons like Arsenic fade away with time. The radioactive poisons double in their ferocity in the first 600,000 years.
The Hungarian people are poisoned and will die off. The land is contaminated and will kill anyone who dares inhabit Hungary in Central Europe. This will not change. The smart and able Hungarians will leave; the old and infirm will stay. And so it goes.
[End]
Copyright 2010 – Bob Nichols. Feel free to distribute with attribution and Notes. Sources and Notes are an integral part of the article. Include when distributing.
Related Article:
“EVACUATE NOW!: This is Not a Drill,” Bob Nichols, August 15, 2010, VeteransToday.
Notes:
BIOPHYSICAL AND BIOLOGICAL EFFECTS OF IONIZING RADIATION, SECTION I – GENERAL, ARMY FIELD MANUAL 8-9, http://tinyurl.com/37u4mrs
Ultima.ora 19-10-10 UNGHERIA: FANGO TOSSICO, STATO EMERGENZA PROLUNGATO FINO AL 31 DICEMBRE , http://tinyurl.com/2g89po5
“Hungary arrests executive connected to red sludge spill,” Phil Cain, Correspondent, Oct 11, 2010, Christian Science Monitor newspaper, http://tinyurl.com/3xjcqrz
Hungary, CIA World Factbook, Oct 23, 2010, http://tinyurl.com/yw2tvn
“Hungary Opens Criminal Probe of Sludge Disaster,” KOLONTAR, Hungary, Oct. 6, 2010, http://tinyurl.com/2ww53ta
Les boues toxiques hongroises. giovedì 14 ottobre 2010, AIPRI, Association Internationale pour la Protection contre les Rayons Ionisants, http://tinyurl.com/36e777d



The article is reproduced in accordance with Section 107 of title 17 of the Copyright Law of the United States relating to fair-use and is for the purposes of criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching, scholarship, and research.

http://vaticproject.blogspot.com/2010/10/hungary-is-failed-state-over-extinct.html

5 Best Countries to Escape America’s Decline

 

Okay, you're upset with the direction America is headed and you've been thinking of moving to another country. Perhaps you feel exhaustedly cynical about the political, economic, or social situation in the U.S. and think it is beyond repair. You wouldn't be alone. Many top economists and other trend forecasters are now openly predicting that a total economic, environmental, and social collapse may be imminent in America.

http://www.pakalertpress.com/2010/10/30/5-best-countries-to-escape-americas-decline/

Why Is Indiana Putting Armed Security Guards Into 36 Unemployment Offices Across The State?

 



 

Did you ever think that things in America would get so bad that we would need to put armed guards into our unemployment offices? Well, that is exactly what is happening in Indiana. Armed security guards will now be posted at all 36 full-service unemployment offices in the state of Indiana. So why is this happening now? Well, Indiana Department of Workforce Development spokesman Marc Lotter says that the agency is bringing in the extra security in anticipation of an upcoming deadline when thousands upon thousands of Indiana residents could have their unemployment benefits cut off. But it is not just the state of Indiana that could have a problem. In fact, one recent study found that approximately 2 million Americans will lose their unemployment insurance benefits during this upcoming holiday season unless Congress authorizes another emergency extension of benefits by the end of November. At this point, however, that is looking less and less likely.

So perhaps all the states will have to start putting armed security guards in their unemployment offices. The truth is that frustration among unemployed Americans is growing by the day.

Could we soon see economic riots similar to what we have seen in Greece and France?

Let's hope not.

The following is a video news report about the armed guards that are going into Indiana unemployment offices....

So could things really get out of hand when thousands of unemployed workers in Indiana find out that they aren't going to get checks any longer?

Indiana Department of Workforce Development spokesman Marc Lotter makes it sound like that is very much on his mind....

"Given the upcoming expiration of the federal extensions and the increased stress on some of the unemployed, we thought added security would provide an extra level of protection for our employees and clients."

So who is paying for all of this extra security?

The Feds of course.

The additional cost of the new security will be approximately $1 million, and it will be paid for with U.S. government funds designated for the administration of the unemployment system according to Lotter.

This is not a good trend. As you go through your daily life, just start taking note of the places that now have armed security that did not have armed security five or ten years ago.

Unfortunately, as the U.S. economy goes downhill even further, the amount of security that people feel is "necessary" is likely to go up even more.

So is America going to become an armed camp where the people and institutions with money are protected by armed guards from the hordes of frustrated unemployed workers that can't feed themselves or their families?

Americans are certainly not in a good mood about the economy. According to a recent poll conducted by CNBC, 92 percent of Americans believe that the performance of the U.S. economy is either "fair" or "poor".

The lack of jobs is the main thing that the American people are so mad about. In fact, it is hard for even highly educated people to find work in 2010. In America today, 317,000 waiters and waitresses have college degrees.

People are really hurting and they are getting to the end of their ropes. Over 41 million Americans are now on food stamps, and one out of every six Americans is enrolled in at least one federal anti-poverty program. It is getting hard to believe that this is even America anymore. For many more statistics that reveal the economic horror we are now facing as a nation, please see my previous article entitled "30 Reasons Why People Should Be Getting Really Nervous About The State Of The U.S. Economy".

But it is not just unemployment that is the problem. In recent years, millions upon millions of Americans have been forced to take reduced hours or a cut in pay due to the economy. Millions of others have had to take jobs that barely enable them to survive. In fact, the number of Americans working part-time jobs "for economic reasons" is now the highest it has been in at least five decades.

So why aren't there even close to enough jobs for everyone? Well, there are a number of contributing factors, including the fact that we have been "offshoring" and "outsourcing" millions of our jobs and now it is really starting to catch up with us. I have discussed this so many times now that I am starting to sound like a broken record.

But instead of fixing the fundamental problems with our economy, the Federal Reserve wants to print yet another gigantic pile of paper money and throw it at the problem. It is called "quantitative easing", and it may help smooth things over for a few months, but it is also going to make our long-term problems even worse.

Unfortunately, the Federal Reserve does not really seem concerned about protecting the value of the U.S. dollar at this point. Not that they ever did, but it would be nice to see Fed officials paying at least some lip service to the dangers of inflation.

Instead, various Fed officials have been publicly making statements about the need for more quantitative easing for weeks. Right now they seem desperate to put the American people back to work - even if it ends up crashing the value of the dollar.

But now even the IMF seems supportive of a dollar devaluation. On Thursday, the IMF actually said that the U.S. dollar is "overvalued" and that adjustments need to be made.

We'll see what the Fed decides to do next week. Most analysts believe that they will announce a quantitative easing program of some sort or another.

But what have we come to as a nation when those who control our economy believe that the best solution to our economic problems is to print another big pile of paper money and chuck it into the system?

We've got an absolutely gigantic economic mess on our hands, and none of our "leaders" seem to have any idea about how to fix it.

Meanwhile, millions of unemployed Americans are just going to become more and more frustrated - especially when it gets to the point when they aren't receiving unemployment checks anymore.

http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/archives/why-is-indiana-putting-armed-security-guards-into-36-unemployment-offices-across-the-state

Friday, 29 October 2010

Vaccines - The True Weapons of Mass Destruction

 

Vatic Note: This is so excellent, and this doctor is so brilliant, progressive in medicine and understands this issue deeper than anyone so far that I have read or listened to. Its worth watching all 15 videos and they are not that long each, so worth the effort. We just can't afford the bandwidth it would take to put all of them up, but once you see the first 5 you will want to see the rest and definitely pass this around to everyone since its that time of year for them to start pushing these vaccines. Its for your children and grandchildren to learn and understand just how bad we hve been lied to by our medical profession to the detriment of peoples health and lives. She literally calls them the medical nazi's and really tears into the drug companies and as a practicing physician she knows what they do to corrupt the system. Very honest and frank analysis of the current state of affairs of our medical profession that we can no longer trust.
Vaccines - The True Weapons of Mass Destruction
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M6dffXhewVE
drcarley2, Contributed to Vatic Project by Gypsy Flame, Australia
January 26, 2009
Part 1 - This is done in 15 parts but we are only going to show 5 parts on here and you can then go to the link on part 5 and click on it, look at the top right hand side and click on Part 6, run your cursor over the title and it will show which part it is. Then do that for each additonal video. This will take a bit of time, but well worth it if you have children or planning on having them, this is a must.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M6dffXhewVE
Part 2 - Water is a major part of the healing process
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zJ64Y370BPc&feature=related
Part 3 - Vaccine actually causes the flu season
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RInjqa04njg&feature=related
part 4 - Vaccinate a child and then he becomes a "special Needs" student due to damage from the vaccine.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=seTK2HyDdXw&feature=related
Part 5 - Chemotherapy and radiation causes cancer.... what??? Chemical products such as fluoride, which paralyzes all the enzymes in your body... what?? .
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m0H699WsIag&feature=related



The article is reproduced in accordance with Section 107 of title 17 of the Copyright Law of the United States relating to fair-use and is for the purposes of criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching, scholarship, and research.

http://vaticproject.blogspot.com/2010/10/vaccines-true-weapons-of-mass.html

66-Foot Waves Hit New York in Ancient Asteroid Splashdown

 

October 28, 2010

ancient new york tsunami

A cosmic impact two millennia ago may have sent tsunamis deluging what is now the Big Apple, scientists suggest.

Many of the giant sea waves known as tsunamis are caused by underwater earthquakes and volcanoes - for example, the devastating 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami was triggered by a quake off the northwestern coast of Sumatra. Still, the causes of nearly 10 percent of all tsunamis nowadays remain uncertain.

Cosmic impacts have been known to cause tsunamis in the past. For instance, scientists have found evidence that the Chicxulub impact in Mexico, which may have ended the age of dinosaurs, triggered gigantic waves.

Now researchers have evidence suggesting that an asteroid roughly 200 yards (183 meters) wide crashed off the coast of New Jersey and sent tsunamis surging toward what is now New York City some 2,300 years ago. [Video – Recreating an Ancient Tsunami]

"Our models suggest the tsunamis were up to 20 meters (66 feet) high when they entered the Hudson River," said researcher Dallas Abbott, a geologist at Columbia University's Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory in New York.

New York City lies at the mouth of the Hudson. When the scientists drilled out tubes of sediment from the New York and New Jersey area, they discovered layers of unusual debris that, they suggest, were laid down by tsunamis.

"We have layers up to maybe 30 centimeters (11.8 inches) thick," Abbott said. "They get thinner upriver, where they're more like 6 centimeters (2.3 inches) thick."

Within these potential tsunami layers is evidence of a cosmic impact, including shocked minerals and microscopic carbon beads loaded with "nano-diamonds," which are "all things only impacts can do," Abbott said. One candidate for the crater that was produced by this impact, she said, lies in the undersea Carteret Canyon, located roughly 90 miles (150 km) off the coast of New Jersey.

Other scientists have raised alternate explanations for these layers. For instance, volcanic eruptions or gigantic landslides on the other side of the Atlantic might have caused the giant waves. Or these anomalous layers of sediment that Abbott and her colleagues are investigating may not have been caused by tsunamis at all — hurricanes can generate huge pulses of water known as storm surges, whose effects on sediment could resemble those of tsunamis.

"Of course, that doesn't explain the evidence of impact that we've found," Abbott said.

For a cosmic impact, one smoking gun would be a specific form of deformed rock known as shocked quartz. The rock is generated by the intense heat and pressure of a collision with an extraterrestrial object. "But if there was an oceanic impact, the oceanic crust doesn't really have quartz to shock," Abbott said.

It there were tsunamis, it remains unclear if ancient Native Americans witnessed them.

"One possible reason why Indian tribes only moved into the area relatively recently is that the people who were once there were all wiped out," Abbott said. "If you look at the predicted wave heights, there would have been few places to hide."

Abbott and her colleagues plan to detail their most recent findings Nov. 3 in Denver, at the annual meeting of the Geological Society of America.

http://www.armageddononline.org/ancient-asteroid-new-york.html

One-fifth of back-boned animals face extinction: study

 

One species is added to the endangered list every week as the risk of extinction spreads to almost one-fifth of the world’s vertebrates, according to a landmark study just released.

The Evolution Lost report, to be published in the journal Science by more than 100 of the world’s leading zoologists and botanists, found that populations of mammal, bird, reptile, amphibian and fish species had declined by an average of 30% in the past 40 years.

Multiple factors have contributed to the demise, including logging, agricultural land conversion, over-exploitation, population growth, pollution and the impact of invasive alien species.

The worst die-off has occurred in south-east Asia, where hunting, dam building and the conversion of forest to palm oil plantations and paddy fields has been most dramatic. But Australia and the Andes have also suffered significant losses.

Land mammal populations are estimated to have declined by one-quarter, marine fish by one-fifth and freshwater fish by almost two-thirds, noted the study, which analyses the states of 25,000 back-boned animals on the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) “red list” of threatened species.

This is clear evidence of why we absolutely must emerge from Nagoya with a strategic plan of action to direct our efforts for biodiversity in the coming decade. — Julia Marton-Lefèvre, IUCN director general

“The backbone of biodiversity is being eroded,” said veteran American ecologist and writer Professor Edward O Wilson. “One small step up the red list is one giant leap forward towards extinction. This is just a small window on the global losses currently taking place.”

The report has been released during a crucial United Nations biodiversity conference in Nagoya that aims to draw up a new global action plan to halt the demise of plant and animal life on Earth.

While current conservation strategies have failed to reverse the decline in wildlife and ecosystems, the authors of the report say the situation would be far worse without the establishment of nature reserves, breeding programmes and protection plans.

Such measures have helped 64 species recover, including the several that were eradicated in the wild but then reintroduced, such as the California condor and black-footed ferret in the United States and Przewalski’s horse in Mongolia.

The authors say the situation would be far worse without the establishment of nature reserves, breeding programmes and protection plans.

Prezwalski’s horse was rescued from the brink of extinction thanks to conservation action. Click the header photo at top to see a gallery of more recovered species. Photo © David Blank.

The study estimates that an extra 20% of species, such as the  black stilt, a wading bird endemic to New Zealand, would have moved higher into the threatened categories without conservation measures. The white rhino and humpback whale have also moved out of the “intensive care ward” thanks to prolonged protection measures.

But the pressures on wildlife are outweighing the support provided by conservation efforts. None of the UN’s 2010 targets to maintain species and habitats have been achieved.

Julia Marton-Lefèvre, director general of the IUCN, called on the negotiators at Nagoya to raise their efforts to save biodiversity. “This is clear evidence of why we absolutely must emerge from Nagoya with a strategic plan of action to direct our efforts for biodiversity in the coming decade,” she said. “Conservation does work, but it needs our support and it needs it fast.”

Many species are in a perilous position. The family of life most at risk may be the oldest seed plants. Two-thirds of cyads are in a critical condition due to illegal harvesting and trade. If current trends continue, the authors say the plants will go the way of the dinosaurs.

Scientists cautioned against focusing exclusively on flagship endangered animals when the wider and closer risk was the demise of once common species, such as bees and fish, that are crucial to the food chain.

A separate study coordinated by the Royal Botanic Gardens at Kew suggested that just over one-fifth of plant species are threatened — mostly in the tropics — due to man-made habitat loss. But the extent of the risk remains unclear.

At the release of a first Asia-wide study of plants, Ma Keping, one of China’s leading botanists, said many of the region’s 100,000 plus species of higher plants were under pressure from rapid economic development, population growth, pollution and poverty.

Scientists cautioned against focusing exclusively on flagship endangered animals when the wider and closer risk was the demise of once common species, such as bees and fish, that are crucial to the food chain.

“Future extinctions risks are projected to be high, but the biodiversity crisis is much more than extinctions,” said Henrique Miguel Pereira, who analysed several recent global environment assessments for Diversitas, the UN Environment Programme and other groups.

“Much of what will happen to biodiversity in 21st century is not global extinctions, but major changes in the abundance of species and the composition of communities,” Pereira said.

The co-author of his paper, Paul Leadley of University Paris-Sud, France, said the trends demanded radical change. “There is no question that business-as-usual development pathways will lead to catastrophic biodiversity loss. Even optimistic scenarios for this century consistently predict extinctions and shrinking populations of many species.”

A UN-sponsored study called The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity calculated the cost of losing nature at $2-5 trillion per year, predominantly in poorer parts of the world.

• — •

This article was originally published on guardian.co.uk at 23.30 BST on Tuesday 26 October 2010.

http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ourworld-en/~3/-iWLN4nGhGk/

Thursday, 28 October 2010

Muhammad's promise to Christians

 

Vatic Note: In order to give a balanced view of the Muslims and their faith, we have decided working toward peace requires true understanding to replace "HATE AND FEAR" propoganda as purged out in volumes by the Zionist owned press. So this piece was perfect for doing just that. I was surprised at what I read and its verifiable. Please take time to do the reading and remember it everytime some filth is put out about Muslims, please remember this writing. Also remember who killed 60 milion Christians when they took over Russia. All Obama has to do to begin serious negotiations with them is pull out the contract that is so old. Not that they are the threat except when we aggress against them. That is why if Israel attacks Iran then we must follow the same intent as Mohammad did when he saved the lives of all those Christians who were under attack and it does not say by who. That will have to remain for speculation.
Muhammad's promise to Christians
http://newsweek.washingtonpost.com/onfaith/guestvoices/2009/12/prophet_muhammads_promise_to_christians.html
By Muqtedar Khan
Director of Islamic Studies at the University of Delaware
Muslims and Christians together constitute over 50 percent of the world. If they lived in peace, we would be half way to world peace. One small step we can take towards fostering Muslim-Christian harmony is to tell and retell positive stories and abstain from mutual demonization.
In this article I propose to remind both Muslims and Christians about a promise that Prophet Muhammed (pbuh) made to Christians. The knowledge of this promise can have enormous impact on Muslim conduct towards Christians. Muslims generally respect the precedent of their Prophet and try to practice it in their lives.
In 628 AD, a delegation from St. Catherine's Monastery came to Prophet Muhammed and requested his protection. He responded by granting them a charter of rights, which I reproduce below in its entirety. St. Catherine's Monastery is located at the foot of Mt. Sinai and is the world's oldest monastery. It possess a huge collection of Christian manuscripts, second only to the Vatican, and is a world heritage site. It also boasts the oldest collection of Christian icons. It is a treasure house of Christian history that has remained safe for 1,400 years under Muslim protection.
The Promise to St. Catherine:
"This is a message from Muhammad ibn Abdullah, as a covenant to those who adopt Christianity, near and far, we are with them. Verily I, the servants, the helpers, and my followers defend them, because Christians are my citizens; and by Allah! I hold out against anything that displeases them.
No compulsion is to be on them. Neither are their judges to be removed from their jobs nor their monks from their monasteries. No one is to destroy a house of their religion, to damage it, or to carry anything from it to the Muslims' houses. Should anyone take any of these, he would spoil God's covenant and disobey His Prophet. Verily, they are my allies and have my secure charter against all that they hate.
No one is to force them to travel or to oblige them to fight. The Muslims are to fight for them. If a female Christian is married to a Muslim, it is not to take place without her approval. She is not to be prevented from visiting her church to pray. Their churches are to be respected. They are neither to be prevented from repairing them nor the sacredness of their covenants. No one of the nation (Muslims) is to disobey the covenant till the Last Day (end of the world)."
The first and the final sentence of the charter are critical. They make the promise eternal and universal. Muhammed asserts that Muslims are with Christians near and far, straight away rejecting any future attempts to limit the promise to St. Catherine alone. By ordering Muslims to obey it until the Day of Judgment the charter again undermines any future attempts to revoke the privileges. These rights are inalienable. Muhammed declared Christians, all of them, as his allies and he equated ill treatment of Christians with violating God's covenant.
A remarkable aspect of the charter is that it imposes no conditions on Christians for enjoying its privileges. It is enough that they are Christians. They are not required to alter their beliefs, they do not have to make any payments and they do not have any obligations. This is a charter of rights without any duties!
The document is not a modern human rights treaty, but even though it was penned in 628 A.D. it clearly protects the right to property, freedom of religion, freedom of work, and security of the person.
I know most readers, must be thinking, So what? Well the answer is simple. Those who seek to foster discord among Muslims and Christians focus on issues that divide and emphasize areas of conflict. But when resources such as Muhammad's promise to Christians is invoked and highlighted it builds bridges. It inspires Muslims to rise above communal intolerance and engenders good will in Christians who might be nursing fear of Islam or Muslims.
When I look at Islamic sources, I find in them unprecedented examples of religious tolerance and inclusiveness. They make me want to become a better person. I think the capacity to seek good and do good inheres in all of us. When we subdue this predisposition towards the good, we deny our fundamental humanity. In this holiday season, I hope all of us can find time to look for something positive and worthy of appreciation in the values, cultures and histories of other peoples.
Dr. Muqtedar Khan is Director of Islamic Studies at the University of Delaware and a fellow of the Institute for Social Policy and Understanding.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
http://www.osmanli.us/
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St Catherines monestary has this to say about the Holy Prophet Muhammed (peace be upon him)'s letter:
According to the tradition preserved at Sinai, Mohammed (AS) both knew and visited the monastery and the Sinai fathers. The Koran makes mention of the Sinai holy sites. In the second year of the Hegira, corresponding to AD 626, a delegation from Sinai requested a letter of protection from Mohammed (S).
This was granted, and authorized by him when he placed his hand upon the document. In AD 1517, Sultan Selim I confirmed the monasterys prerogatives, but took the original letter of protection for safekeeping to the royal treasury in Constantinople. At the same time, he gave the monastery certified copies of this document, each depicting the hand print of Mohammed (S) in token of his having touched the original.
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Greek Halki School of Theology, the only Greek Orthodox seminary in Turkey.
Yes, and it is authentic. Ustadh Muhammad Hamidullah, rahimahullah, published it and others before him - orientalists - published it.
But the manuscript they rely on is not the original handwritten by the Sahaba, rather a copy of it. The Ottoman Sultan replaced it with copies. What's true is that the original is lost - or somewhere in Istanbul's famous libraries of muslim manuscripts - and what exists are copies.
Google it: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Achtiname_of_Muhammad



The article is reproduced in accordance with Section 107 of title 17 of the Copyright Law of the United States relating to fair-use and is for the purposes of criticism, comment, news reporting, teaching, scholarship, and research.

http://vaticproject.blogspot.com/2010/10/muhammads-promise-to-christians.html

Trigger Points, Black Swans, And Other Unpleasant Realities

 

By Giordano Bruno

Neithercorp Press – 10/27/2010

An avalanche is not an “event”, it is an epic; a series of smaller events drifting and compacting one after another until the contained potential energy reaches an apex, a point at which it can no longer be managed or inhibited. A single tremor, an inopportune echo, an unexpected shift in the winds, and the entire icy edifice, the product of countless layered storms, is sent crashing down the valley like a great and terrible hand. In this way, avalanches in nature are quite similar to avalanches in economies; both events accumulate over the long span of seasons, and finally end in the bewildering flash of a single moment.

The problem that most people have today is being unable to tell the difference between a smaller storm in our economy, and an avalanche. Very few Americans have ever personally witnessed a financial collapse, and so, when confronted with an initiating event, like the stock market plunge of 2008, they have no point of reference with which to compare the experience. They misinterpret the crash as a finale. Untouched, they breathe a sigh of relief, unaware that this is merely the beginning of something much more complex and threatening.

So, without personal experience on our side to help us recognize a trigger point incident; the catalyst that brings down our meticulously constructed house of cards, how will we stand watch? Will we miss the danger parading right in front of our faces? Will we be caught completely off-guard?

The key in avoiding such a scenario is in identifying the primary pillars of our particular financial system, and tracking them carefully. Once we are able to cut through the haze of distractions and minor events promoted mostly by the mainstream media, and focus on that which is truly important, our ability to foresee danger greatly increases. But what are the crucial mainstays of our economy, and what kind of disastrous occurrence could possibly bring them tumbling down?

Mortgage Crisis Redux

The health of property markets is a vital indicator of the stability of almost any country, but most especially in the United States. The reason why the bust in mortgage values is so dangerous to our particular economy is because Americans allowed themselves to become completely dependent on debt in order to sustain their consumption. We have been surviving on mortgage loans and Visa cards for nearly two decades! The fantastical boost in stocks and retail during the late 90’s and early 2000’s was an illusion built on artificially low interest rates and easy credit. Of course, it doesn’t help that corporate interests outsourced most of our industrial foundation to the third world leaving us with an emaciated jobs market utterly reliant on the service sector. Many people were given few options besides taking loan after loan using homes they couldn’t afford in the first place as collateral.

Regardless, without the support of solid industry and innovation in a system to supply employment opportunities and create true wealth (not debt), we have only “derivatives” and toxic securities, worthless bits of paper representing liabilities that will never be repaid. Now that these contracts are known to be worthless, there is only one thing left to prop up the economy; fiat printing of the U.S. dollar.

Back in 2008, I called the bailout of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac a “black hole” of debt which would siphon the last remaining vestiges of wealth from the American taxpayer, and this is exactly what has happened. Every quarter, MSM analysts claim the housing market has “bottomed” and is ready for a rebound, yet, every quarter the mortgage crisis gets just a little bit worse. It is now projected that Fannie and Freddie could end up costing taxpayers over $1 Trillion:

http://www.cnbc.com/id/37982580/Fannie_Freddie_Bailout_Could_Cost_Taxpayers_1_Trillion

This is a conservative estimate in my opinion, considering both firms comprise about $5 Trillion of the U.S. housing market, and mortgage defaults have continued unabated for nearly three years now. Until this past month, banks had accelerated their foreclosure rates by 25%:

http://www.foxnews.com/us/2010/09/16/homes-lost-foreclosure-percent/

The more homeowners declare bankruptcy, the more money U.S. citizens will have to pay to bailout banks and mortgage companies to keep them afloat, and the more the private Federal Reserve will create fiat dollars to continue this process. However, a new development has made this bad situation even more volatile.

In any major economic collapse, there is always another Jack-in-the-box. This time, it’s in the home foreclosure process itself. The Attorney General’s office in every state is now investigating banks like JP Morgan, Citigroup, Well’s Fargo, Bank Of America, etc, for flawed foreclosure documents, “automated” foreclosures, and the signing of foreclosure papers without properly ensuring their accuracy:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-10-18/u-s-bank-earnings-face-mortgage-scrutiny-as-49-billion-in-value-vanishes.html

These four banks control over 55% of the billing and collections market in U.S. home loans, while Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac usually own a piece of every mortgage these companies are involved in. Any sign of malfeasance on the part of these corporations may indicate widespread imbalances and fraud. Such news could trigger a flight of investors away from companies tied to this relapse in mortgage uncertainty, along with renewed bank failures in the vein of Lehman Bros. In response, some states have completely frozen home foreclosures. Florida, site of the third highest foreclosure rates in the country, will continue it’s freezing of home seizures for at least another month:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-10-25/florida-foreclosures-still-on-hold-as-banks-say-they-ve-resumed-seizures.html

There are two very big problems with this situation. First, while I am all for Americans keeping their homes and making life difficult for the bankers, a foreclosure freeze creates the possibility of a heightened banking collapse, which could lead to quantitative easing programs on a scale that dwarfs previous measures. This means even more tax dollars going into the “too big to fails”. Therefore, globalist banks actually BENEFIT from a foreclosure upheaval. It could also lead to a direct bailout of the mortgage market itself. In either case, the response will be more massive printing of fiat, and a catastrophic devaluation of the dollar.

Second, foreclosures now make up over 30% of all home sales in this country. In some states, including California, foreclosures make up nearly half of all home sales:

http://www.sacbee.com/2010/09/30/3069035/foreclosures-make-up-nearly-half.html

If you think home sales are in trouble now, imagine what will happen if all foreclosure sales stopped in their tracks for several months or more! Poof! 30% to 40% of the housing market gone, just like that! I have no doubt that this would inspire considerable outflows of investment from the U.S. economy, especially by foreign nations. This is already happening in certain sectors. Central Banks across the world recently dumped a record $57 billion in U.S. Agency bonds. These bonds support such entities as Fannie and Freddie, and an expanded property market disaster would greatly damage their value:

http://jsmineset.com/2010/09/16/central-banks-dump-57-billion-of-us-agency-debt/

Interestingly, this dump began almost right before the “foreclosure-gate” issue arose, which suggests that some central banks were aware that the mortgage crisis in the U.S. would hit a new stage before it even happened.

Essentially, any announcement of an extended foreclosure freeze would set in motion a domino effect that is likely to contribute to systematic failure in our economy, and most especially, in the now precarious health of the dollar. News of a nation-wide freeze without an announcement of a time-frame should be considered by those in the Liberty Movement as a neon red warning sign that the situation is about to get ugly.

Stock Market Bubble Burst

So much fiat is being pumped into banks and the Dow by the Treasury and the Federal Reserve it is difficult to tell what is truly going on in the stock market. There are, though, certain signs we can look for to gage when a stock bubble implosion could take place. One method is to track the cash holdings of mutual funds.

When mutual funds have a lot of cash on hand, it often means they ready to funnel new capital into markets when the time is right. When mutual funds are very low on cash, this might signal that the market is ready to begin an extensive sell off. Currently, mutual fund cash levels have hit an all-time record low:


http://pragcap.com/mutual-funds-are-all-in

This shows one of two things; either the stock market is inflated to its peak, and mutual funds have invested as much as they can to support it, or, mutual fund participants are beginning to pull their money out of their portfolios, in which case, the stock rally is built almost entirely on infusions from other sources (the Federal Reserve). The latter is supported by reports of an exodus of investors from mutual funds since August of this year:

http://www.kiplinger.com/news/article.php/retail-investors-pull-money-from-mutual-funds-is-19929663.html

Both problems reveal a severe weakness in stocks, one that could instigate an eventual Dow drop on par with the consecutive market dives of the Great Depression.

Another signal of a stock collapse is the “net short positions” of Commercial (corporate) traders in the market. When commercials short stocks heavily, it means they are betting on a substantial fall in market value. Being that many of these larger banks and hedge funds have an “inside track” on market information, they are usually correct in their predictions. Current net short positions of commercial traders have hit levels higher than any in the past 5 years:

http://pragcap.com/is-the-smart-money-getting-short

In my view, the next extended market drop we see is liable to be the last. Today’s economy is so unstable, and based on so much faith rather that fundamentals, any uncertainty in the Dow will pull the rug out from under us. A sudden 20% to 30% loss in stock values would be more than enough to create a trigger point in the destabilization of the rest of our financial system and should be taken very seriously by those in the Liberty Movement. This could happen over a period of months, or in a series of flash crashes lasting a matter of days.

Escalation Of Currency Conflict

Recently, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner announced that the U.S. had no intention of devaluing the dollar for export advantage over the rest of the world, and that the G20 should work on “aligning” their Forex positions to avoid wars over currency devaluation. This is fascinating, mainly because this statement is completely counter to what Geithner has been saying for the past couple years. Did ‘Tiny Tim’ grow a heart, or a brain, and realize the currency war rhetoric is a disaster waiting to happen for the United States? I really doubt it.

Such talk is typical in the midst of G20 conferences, but rarely if ever does this translate into any positive action by globalists. Currency devaluations, including that of the dollar, are well underway, and lip service paid by Geithner is not going to change anything. I’m sure he’s well aware of this.

The manner in which the currency war plays out hinges on a few key events. First, legislation put forward in Congress to institute trade duties on China is awaiting approval before the end of this year. The passage of this legislation WILL bring on the full force of a currency fight, and probably the dumping of U.S. T-bonds by China. Second, the Treasury Department trade report on China, which is expected to label the country as a currency manipulator, has been delayed even though it is required by law to be posted every 15th of October. The delay will probably last until after the November elections:

http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/business/7249676.html

If this report is released with the intention of accusing China of manipulation, expect escalation.

Finally, a further loss in the value of the dollar index, perhaps below the 74 point resistance level, could also result in an increased dumping of U.S. T-bonds by foreign central banks. Those looking for preemptive warning of collapse should keep a close eye on the dollar index as well as foreign liquidations of T-bond reserves.

Escalation Of Resource Conflict

Most people are aware of the import and export implications of a global trade war. Tariffs and duties are put in place, prices on foreign goods skyrocket, international investment tanks, and everyone becomes generally miffed with everyone else. It’s a perfect recipe for a full scale financial meltdown. However, one factor that is particularly detrimental to the U.S. is the use of vital resources by other nations as leverage to initiate a breakdown in the foundations of our domestic trade.

The U.S. imports everything and produces almost nothing. Trade duties on China would cause swelling prices on nearly all products, being that most items we buy are made in China, but this is nothing compared to the resource and commodity valuations that will follow, along with the scarcity of materials withheld by governments out of spite.

Oil, for instance, will obviously be the first resource used as a trade weapon. For now, crude oil is holding at around $80 a barrel, but this will not last much longer. The dollar’s world reserve currency status is intact for the moment, and oil is traded across the planet almost exclusively in dollars. A dollar devaluation, even in the face of commodity market manipulation, would eventually lead to an oil spike. A trade war would exacerbate this scenario by reducing the steady flow of oil into the U.S. OPEC members are now calling for oil to rise to $100 a barrel to counter weakness in the dollar. This would bring us back to $3 to $3.50 a gallon gas, if crude values and supplies remain at that level:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-10-15/opec-members-seek-100-a-barrel-oil-as-sliding-dollar-cuts-real-revenue.html

I suspect with added currency instability, $150 a barrel oil is conceivable within the next 6 months. Two years ago, high gas prices frustrated Americans, but were still bearable. Today, after two years of static 20% real unemployment and trillions in lost savings, $150 oil would crush what’s left of this economy.

Another good example of resource control would be China’s domination of “rare earth”, a metals material necessary for the manufacture of most electronics and some military defense products. China regulates about 97% of the rare earth market, and is beginning to hoard the needed ore (while claiming they will not) in response to economic collapse and trade decoupling:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-10-20/china-pledges-to-maintain-rare-earth-sales-official-says-exports-may-rise.html

China’s exports of rare earth fell by 72% in July. The price of rare earth metals has increased seven-fold in the past six months. Considering the fact that one of the few industries left in the U.S., computer chips, relies entirely on this resource, its use as a trade weapon is evident.

While mushrooming commodity prices are a good sign of inflation in the dollar, in some cases they can also reflect the first stages of trade combat. Tracking them can give you precious insight into more insidious hazards just over the horizon.

Quantitative Easing To The Max

How many bailouts does it take to get to the center of a hyperinflationary collapse? Three? Or maybe just one continuous undefined fiat injection…

Federal Reserve officials meeting on November 2-3 will decide yet again how much money they will create out of thin air to prop up the economy. Some estimate that the Fed will pour around $300 billion into the system, while others are predicting around $2 trillion. I should mention, though, that whatever sum the Fed openly announces it will be irrelevant to those who understand how the central bank operates. The bailouts begun in 2008 never really stopped, and it’s impossible to say how much currency exactly the Fed has Xeroxed into circulation without taking a look at their books, which they won’t let anyone do.

The announcement will matter psychologically to those investors who don’t understand the shadowy nature of the Fed, and blindly believe whatever they are told.

A statement by Ben Bernanke of $300 billion or less in quantitative easing will probably have a calming effect on the fall of the dollar, at least for a short time, and a minor drop in the value of gold. An announcement of $1 trillion or more in easing will cause greater dollar instability, and a spike in gold. What mainstream investors will not comprehend is that ANY stimulus announcement is a very bad sign for the coming year. The Fed has been tossing dollars into the financial system at will without oversight and without public approval. Why would they now decide to make their program public? I believe the easing is meant to preempt a trigger point event in the markets yet to take place, as well as set the stage for further global currency tensions. The money creation that starts in early November will be an extension of that which has been going on unabated since 2008, but it will also herald a new phase, one which brings a frightening velocity to matters.

Austerity In A Land Of Excess

A society which has lived for a long time in a state of economic uncertainty and then faced with austerity measures is going to have to hurdle some serious obstacles to survive. On the other hand, a society that has grown used to a luxurious standard of living by comparison, and then forced into austerity, is liable to freak out padded-room style and make an unprecedented mess of things.

I honestly cannot imagine the full extent of an American reaction to austerity. Cuts in social security, medical care, unemployment welfare, food stamps, education, police, military spending, government jobs, etc, would at the very least result in rioting, not to mention leave a lot of starving, homeless people in its wake. This is, of course, what happens when you encourage dependency on government and a lack of self sufficiency in a culture. The life of the nanny state is often assumed eternal, even when its debts and currency are blatantly unsustainable.

According to Citigroup’s chief economist, “savage austerity” is already in the making for the U.S.:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2010-10-20/-savage-austerity-is-in-u-s-s-future-citigroup-s-buiter-says-tom-keene.html

A proclamation of austerity measures would be a high profile trigger point, sending shockwaves throughout our economy. Austerity would likely be preceded by defaults in municipal debts in cities across the country, as well as confiscation of employee pension funds. The government may try to use greater fiat injections to avoid having to cut certain services to the public, but some austerity will take place, seeds that will grow over time as the dollar loses its reserve status and its perceived value. Any sign of austerity in the U.S. is a sign of total collapse, period.

Black Swans Come Home To Roost

A “Black Swan” is an event which defies predictability and affects the very nature of a system in unexpected ways. A terrorist attack (or false flag), which causes investor sentiment to falter and stocks to disintegrate, would be an example of a Black Swan. Surprise cataclysms are in most cases only possible when there are already acute imbalances in a system (which have been ignored by the public) present to act as tinder for the fire. Like a twisted game of Jenga, global banks have pulled numerous supports from our financial structure, causing it to teeter on the brink of oblivion. It is indeed extremely vulnerable to unanticipated incidents.

There is absolutely no guarantee that life tomorrow will be anything like life today. Expectations of continuity and safety are a crutch for those who lack the ability to adapt to changing circumstances. Accepting the reality of possible upheaval is the first step in preparing one’s self to weather unfortunate circumstances, or even to prevent them. By recognizing trigger points in our economy, we can remove the shock factor, and thus the teeth of the dilemma. By familiarizing ourselves with the potential for danger, we steel ourselves to its ferocity. Even the shadow of a Black Swan is nothing to those who are intuitive, informed, savvy, and capable. The goal for those of us in the Liberty Movement is to encourage these qualities in our friends, family, and neighbors, until their ability to foretell financial and social jeopardy is carefully honed.

One thing is certain; we cannot go on simply waiting for misfortune to strike like lightening. We cannot play at life, pretending all is well until the final curtain falls, and acknowledging the need for vigilance could go a long way in seeing that it never does….

You can contact Giordano Bruno at: giordano@neithercorp.us

http://neithercorp.us/npress/?p=885

U.S. Midterm Elections, Obama and Iran

 

With midterm elections quickly approaching, the media is full of sordid details about candidates and good old-fashioned mudslinging. Few take a giant step back, and consequentially the high road, to recognize the big picture. As my friend George states in the piece below - whether we see overwhelming Republican victory or surprising Democratic saves next week, the end result is the same. Democrats will no longer hold a decisive majority, and any Republican majority will still face the presidential veto. Domestic politics are about to change.

In the article, George - founder and CEO of STRATFOR, a global intelligence company - explores what President Obama's options are if he hopes to secure a second term. It's not a prediction of what Obama will do, but the options George presents are very, very interesting, and would have repercussions well beyond U.S. borders and 2012 elections.

Give it a read, and then sign up to get more reports like this one from George. It's a free slice of STRATFOR's subscription content, and you'll enjoy the refreshingly unique perspective.

Your hoping to see the Commissioner's Trophy in Texas Analyst,

John Mauldin


U.S. Midterm Elections, Obama and Iran

U.S. Midterm Elections, Obama and Iran

By George Friedman

We are a week away from the 2010 U.S. midterm elections. The outcome is already locked in. Whether the Republicans take the House or the Senate is close to immaterial. It is almost certain that the dynamics of American domestic politics will change. The Democrats will lose their ability to impose cloture in the Senate and thereby shut off debate. Whether they lose the House or not, the Democrats will lose the ability to pass legislation at the will of the House Democratic leadership. The large majority held by the Democrats will be gone, and party discipline will not be strong enough (it never is) to prevent some defections.

Should the Republicans win an overwhelming victory in both houses next week, they will still not have the votes to override presidential vetoes. Therefore they will not be able to legislate unilaterally, and if any legislation is to be passed it will have to be the result of negotiations between the president and the Republican Congressional leadership. Thus, whether the Democrats do better than expected or the Republicans win a massive victory, the practical result will be the same.

When we consider the difficulties President Barack Obama had passing his health care legislation, even with powerful majorities in both houses, it is clear that he will not be able to push through any significant legislation without Republican agreement. The result will either be gridlock or a very different legislative agenda than we have seen in the first two years.

These are not unique circumstances. Reversals in the first midterm election after a presidential election happened to Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton. It does not mean that Obama is guaranteed to lose a re-election bid, although it does mean that, in order to win that election, he will have to operate in a very different way. It also means that the 2012 presidential campaign will begin next Wednesday on Nov. 3. Given his low approval ratings, Obama appears vulnerable and the Republican nomination has become extremely valuable. For his part, Obama does not have much time to lose in reshaping his presidency. With the Iowa caucuses about 15 months away and the Republicans holding momentum, the president will have to begin his campaign.

Obama now has two options in terms of domestic strategy. The first is to continue to press his agenda, knowing that it will be voted down. If the domestic situation improves, he takes credit for it. If it doesn’t, he runs against Republican partisanship. The second option is to abandon his agenda, cooperate with the Republicans and re-establish his image as a centrist. Both have political advantages and disadvantages and present an important strategic decision for Obama to make.

The Foreign Policy Option

Obama also has a third option, which is to shift his focus from domestic policy to foreign policy. The founders created a system in which the president is inherently weak in domestic policy and able to take action only when his position in Congress is extremely strong. This was how the founders sought to avoid the tyranny of narrow majorities. At the same time, they made the president quite powerful in foreign policy regardless of Congress, and the evolution of the presidency over the centuries has further strengthened this power. Historically, when the president has been weak domestically, one option he has had is to appear powerful by focusing on foreign policy.

For presidents like Clinton, this was not a particularly viable option in 1994-1996. The international system was quiet, and it was difficult to act meaningfully and decisively. It was easier for Reagan in 1982-1984. The Soviet Union was strong and threatening, and an aggressive anti-Soviet stance was popular and flowed from his 1980 campaign. Deploying the ground-launched cruise missile and the Pershing II medium-range ballistic missile in Western Europe alienated his opponents, strengthened his position with his political base and allowed him to take the center (and ultimately pressured the Soviets into agreeing to the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty). By 1984, with the recession over, Reagan’s anti-Soviet stance helped him defeat Walter Mondale.

Obama does not have Clinton’s problem. The international environment allows him to take a much more assertive stance than he has over the past two years. The war in Afghanistan is reaching a delicate negotiating state as reports of ongoing talks circulate. The Iraq war is far from stable, with

50,000 U.S. troops still there, and the Iranian issue is wide open. Israeli-Palestinian talks are also faltering, and there are a host of other foreign issues, ranging from China’s increasing assertiveness to Russia’s resurgent power to the ongoing decline in military power of America’s European allies. There are a range of issues that need to be addressed at the presidential level, many of which would resonate with at least some voters and allow Obama to be presidential in spite of weak political support.

There are two problems with Obama becoming a foreign policy president. The first is that the country is focused on the economy and on domestic issues. If he focuses on foreign policy and the U.S. economy does not improve by 2012, it will cost him the election. His hope will be foreign policy successes, or at least the perception of being strong on national security, coupled with economic recovery or a plausible reason to blame the Republicans. This is a tricky maneuver, but his presidency no longer offers simple solutions.

The second problem is that his presidency and campaign have been based on the general principle of accommodation rather than confrontation in foreign affairs, with the sole exception of Afghanistan, where he chose to be substantially more aggressive than his predecessor had been. The place where he was assertive is unlikely to yield a major foreign policy success, unless that success is a negotiated settlement with the Taliban. A negotiated settlement will be portrayed by the Republicans as capitulation rather than triumph. If he continues on the current course in Afghanistan, he will seem to be plodding down an old path and not pioneering a new one.

Interestingly, if Obama’s goal is to appear strong on national security while regaining the center, Afghanistan offers the least attractive venue. His choices are negotiation, which would reinforce his image as an accommodationist in foreign policy, or continued war, which is not particularly new territory. He could deploy even more forces into Afghanistan, but then would risk looking like Lyndon Johnson in 1967, hurling troops at the enemy without a clear plan. He could, of course, create a massive crisis with Pakistan, but it would be extremely unlikely that such an effort would end well, given the situation in Afghanistan. Foreign policy presidents need to be successful.

There is little to be done in Iraq at the moment except delay the withdrawal of forces, which adds little to his political position. Moreover, the core problem in Iraq at the moment is Iran and its support of disruptive forces. Obama could attempt to force an Israeli-Palestinian settlement, but that would require Hamas to change its position, which is unlikely, or that Israel make massive concessions, which it doesn’t think it has to do. The problem with Israel and the Palestinians is that peace talks, such as those under Clinton at Camp David, have a nasty tendency to end in chaos.

The European, Russian and Chinese situations are of great importance, but they are not conducive to dramatic acts. The United States is not going to blockade China over the yuan or hold a stunning set of meetings with the Europeans to get them to increase their defense budgets and commit to more support for U.S. wars. And the situation regarding North Korea does not have the pressing urgency to justify U.S. action. There are many actions that would satisfy Obama’s accomodationist inclinations, but those would not serve well in portraying him as decisive in foreign policy.

The Iranian Option

This leaves the obvious choice: Iran. Iran is the one issue on which the president could galvanize public opinion. The Republicans have portrayed Obama as weak on combating militant Islamism. Many of the Democrats see Iran as a repressive violator of human rights, particularly after the crackdown on the Green Movement. The Arabian Peninsula, particularly Saudi Arabia, is afraid of Iran and wants the United States to do something more than provide $60 billion-worth of weapons over the next 10 years. The Israelis, obviously, are hostile. The Europeans are hostile to Iran but want to avoid escalation, unless it ends quickly and successfully and without a disruption of oil supplies. The Russians like the Iranians are a thorn in the American side, as are the Chinese, but neither would have much choice should the United States deal with Iran quickly and effectively. Moreover, the situation in Iraq would improve if Iran were to be neutralized, and the psychology in Afghanistan could also shift.

If Obama were to use foreign policy to enhance his political standing through decisive action, and achieve some positive results in relations with foreign governments, the one place he could do it would be Iran. The issue is what he might have to do and what the risks would be. Nothing could, after all, hurt him more than an aggressive stance against Iran that failed to achieve its goals or turned into a military disaster for the United States.

So far, Obama’s policy toward Iran has been to incrementally increase sanctions by building a weak coalition and allow the sanctions to create shifts in Iran’s domestic political situation. The idea is to weaken President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and strengthen his enemies, who are assumed to be more moderate and less inclined to pursue nuclear weapons. Obama has avoided overt military action against Iran, so a confrontation with Iran would require a deliberate shift in the U.S. stance, which would require a justification.

The most obvious justification would be to claim that Iran is about to construct a nuclear device. Whether or not this is true would be immaterial. First, no one would be in a position to challenge the claim, and, second, Obama’s credibility in making the assertion would be much greater than George W. Bush’s, given that Obama does not have the 2003 weapons-of-mass-destruction debacle to deal with and has the advantage of not having made such a claim before. Coming from Obama, the claim would confirm the views of the Republicans, while the Democrats would be hard-pressed to challenge him. In the face of this assertion, Obama would be forced to take action. He could appear reluctant to his base, decisive to the rest. The Republicans could not easily attack him. Nor would the claim be a lie. Defining what it means to almost possess nuclear weapons is nearly a metaphysical discussion. It requires merely a shift in definitions and assumptions. This is cynical scenario, but it can be aligned with reasonable concerns.

As STRATFOR has argued in the past, destroying Iran’s nuclear capability does not involve a one-day raid, nor is Iran without the ability to retaliate. Its nuclear facilities are in a number of places and Iran has had years to harden those facilities. Destroying the facilities might take an extended air campaign and might even require the use of special operations units to verify battle damage and complete the mission. In addition, military action against Iran’s naval forces would be needed to protect the oil routes through the Persian Gulf from small boat swarms and mines, anti-ship missile launchers would have to be attacked and Iranian air force and air defenses taken out. This would not solve the problem of the rest of Iran’s conventional forces, which would represent a threat to the region, so these forces would have to be attacked and reduced as well.

An attack on Iran would not be an invasion, nor would it be a short war. Like Yugoslavia in 1999, it would be an extended air war lasting an unknown number of months. There would be American POWs from aircraft that were shot down or suffered mechanical failure over Iranian territory. There would be many civilian casualties, which the international media would focus on. It would not be an antiseptic campaign, but it would likely (though it is important to reiterate not certainly) destroy Iran’s nuclear capability and profoundly weaken its conventional forces. It would be a war based on American strengths in aerial warfare and technology, not on American weaknesses in counterinsurgency. It would strengthen the Iranian regime (as aerial bombing usually does) by rallying the Iranian public to its side against the aggression. If the campaign were successful, the Iranian regime would be stronger politically, at least for a while, but eviscerated militarily. A successful campaign would ease the U.S. withdrawal from Iraq, calm the Saudis and demonstrate to the Europeans American capability and will. It would also cause the Russians and Chinese to become very thoughtful.

A campaign against Iran would have its risks. Iran could launch a terrorist campaign and attempt to close the Strait of Hormuz, sending the global economy into a deep recession on soaring oil prices. It could also create a civil war in Iraq. U.S. intelligence could have missed the fact that the Iranians already have a deliverable nuclear weapon. All of these are possible risks, and, according to STRATFOR’s thinking, the risks outweigh the rewards. After all, the best laid military plan can end in a fiasco.

We have argued that a negotiation with Iran in the order of President Richard Nixon’s reversal on China would be a lower-risk solution to the nuclear problem than the military option. But for Obama, this is politically difficult to do. Had Bush done this, he would have had the ideological credentials to deal with Iran, as Nixon had the ideological credentials to deal with China. But Obama does not. Negotiating an agreement with Iran in the wake of an electoral rout would open the floodgates to condemnation of Obama as an appeaser. In losing power, he loses the option for negotiation unless he is content to be a one-term president.

I am arguing the following. First, Obama will be paralyzed on domestic policies by this election. He can craft a re-election campaign blaming the Republicans for gridlock. This has its advantages and disadvantages; the Republicans, charging that he refused to adjust to the electorate’s wishes, can blame him for the gridlock. It can go either way. The other option for Obama is to look for triumph in foreign policy where he has a weak hand. The only obvious way to achieve success that would have a positive effect on the U.S. strategic position is to attack Iran. Such an attack would have substantial advantages and very real dangers. It could change the dynamics of the Middle East and it could be a military failure.

I am not claiming that Obama will decide to do this based on politics, although no U.S. president has ever engaged in foreign involvement without political considerations, nor should he. I am saying that, at this moment in history, given the domestic gridlock that appears to be in the offing, a shift to a foreign policy emphasis makes sense, Obama needs to be seen as an effective commander in chief and Iran is the logical target.

This is not a prediction. Obama does not share his thoughts with me. It is merely speculation on the options Obama will have after the midterm elections, not what he will choose to do.

Read more: U.S. Midterm Elections, Obama and Iran | STRATFOR

http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/John_Mauldin_Outside_The_Box/~3/QVde5H_w98U/u-s-midterm-elections-obama-and-iran.aspx

Wednesday, 27 October 2010

Good News – Evil Monsanto Finally Reaping Its Just Desserts

 

Vatic Note: Finally, it appears there is some serious organized opposition to this monsanto murder machine. This is what happens when you place greed above ethics and your fiduciary responsibility to your craft. Its well deserved and worse should happen to them. If things go well, maybe it will, since the Justice dept is making some noises like they might do something. I say wait til after the election and see what that dept does then. Justice is long overdue in many areas and this is one of them. If you have read all that we have put up here on these poisonings of our food, you would feel the same way as we do. Lets get them. Bet they are run by satanists too. I am impressed that this is as far along as it is and it can work if we all chip in and support it and push it to do even more with our help.
Contributors Note: Dr Mercola just put out this excellent article !
Please forward widely . Give it to everyone who still sprays roundup ! It is criminal !
Object strongly and loudly to this ill practice and let your council know that it is unacceptable !
Good News – Evil Monsanto Finally Reaping Its Just Desserts
http://articles.mercola.com/sites/articles/archive/2010/10/23/monsanto-finally-reaping-its-just-desserts.aspx
Posted By Dr. Mercola
October 23 2010, provided to Vatic Project by Boldarn, Australia

Monsanto, the giant biotechnology agriculture company that created genetically modified corn, soybeans and herbicides, isn't riding so high this year in the stocks department, as news comes in that its products aren't working like they'd hoped.
According to the New York Times, weeds are becoming immune to Monsanto's herbicide Roundup, and its latest genetically modified, 8-gene corn is a flop, producing yields no higher than the company's less expensive corn, which contains only three foreign genes.
"Monsanto has already been forced to sharply cut prices on SmartStax and on its newest soybean seeds, called Roundup Ready 2 Yield, as sales fell below projections," the Times said. "And the Justice Department is investigating Monsanto for possible antitrust violations."
"Until now, Monsanto's main challenge has come from opponents of genetically modified crops, who have slowed their adoption in Europe and some other regions. Now, however, the skeptics also include farmers and investors who were once in Monsanto's camp."
Monsanto was named "company of the year" by Forbes Magazine in December. Last week, television stock market commentator Jim Cramer said it "may be the worst stock of 2010," the Times said.
Sources:
New York Times October 5, 2010
Dr. Mercola's Comments:
Since the 1980s, Monsanto has become the world leader in genetic modification of seeds, succeeding in at least 674 biotechnology patents, more than any other company -- and they showed no signs of stopping … until now.
It seems Monsanto's glory days may be coming to an end, which is a refreshing turnaround from last December, when Forbes declared this evil corporation "company of the year" -- for reasons that truly boggle the mind.
Now, the tide is turning, and as the Times pointed out, signs are suggesting that Monsanto's "winning streak" is over:
Monsanto's newest genetically modified (GM) product, SmartStax corn, provides no greater yields than older products, despite being more expensive
Weeds are growing resistant to Monsanto's Roundup
The Justice Department is investigating Monsanto for possible antitrust violations
Already, shares of Monsanto's stock have fallen 42 percent since January, and earnings for the fiscal year are expected to be well under projections.
To say this news makes me overjoyed is an understatement, as this company represents one of the biggest threats to your future health, and that of the planet.
Monsanto Monstrosities Swept Under the Rug
Why is Monsanto top on my hit list of evil corporations? Here is just a short list of the many improprieties and outright crimes committed by Monsanto:
Suing small farmers for patent infringement after Monsanto's GM seeds spread wildly into surrounding farmers' fields, contaminating their conventional crops
Secretly discharging PCB-laden toxic waste into an Alabama creek, and dumping millions of pounds of PCBs into open-pit landfills for decades after PCBs were banned in the US for being a possible carcinogen.
Being found guilty of bribery to bypass Indonesian law requiring an environmental assessment review for its genetically engineered cotton.
Last year, the supreme court of France found Monsanto guilty of falsely advertising its herbicide Roundup as "biodegradable" and "environmentally friendly." Scientific evaluation discovered that glyphosate, the active ingredient in RoundUp, is acutely toxic to fish and birds and can kill beneficial insects and soil organisms that maintain ecological balance. Additionally, the surfactant ingredient in Roundup is more acutely toxic than glyphosate itself, and the combination of the two is even more toxic.
In 2007, the South African Advertising Standards Authority also found Monsanto guilty of lying when advertising that "no negative reactions to Genetically Modified food have been reported."
According to one EPA scientist, Monsanto doctored studies and covered-up dioxin contamination of a wide range of its products. She concluded that the company's behaviour constituted "a long pattern of fraud."
In 1999, the New York Times exposed that Monsanto's PR firm, Burson Marsteller, had paid fake "pro-GMO" food demonstrators to counteract a group of anti-biotech protesters outside a Washington, DC FDA meeting.
This should give you a clue as to why I'm thrilled that Monsanto appears to be falling out of favor, at least in the stock market realm.
Be Warned: Monsanto Has People on the Inside
Despite their falling stock prices, I don't expect Monsanto to disappear from the radar. They will continue to produce as many genetically modified crops and chemicals as the world population will accept.
And they've got help at every turn, including from leaders in the U.S. government. Michael Taylor, a former vice president of public policy and chief lobbyist at Monsanto Company, is the deputy commissioner for foods at the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA).
Who is Michael Taylor? He is the person who "oversaw the creation of GMO policy," according to Jeffrey Smith, the leading spokesperson on the dangers of GM foods. Smith continues:
"If GMOs are indeed responsible for massive sickness and death, then the individual who oversaw the FDA policy that facilitated their introduction holds a uniquely infamous role in human history. That person is Michael Taylor. He had been Monsanto's attorney before becoming policy chief at the FDA. Soon after, he became Monsanto's vice president and chief lobbyist."
The FDA policy being referred to is the 1992 GMO policy, which stated:
"The agency is not aware of any information showing that foods derived by these new methods [genetic engineering] differ from other foods in any meaningful or uniform way."
In reality, there was major concern among FDA scientists that GM foods were in fact different than natural foods, and that their creation could prompt unknown and unpredictable health problems.
Former Iowa Governor Tom Vilsack, now the Secretary of Agriculture, is also widely regarded as a shill for biotech giants like Monsanto (he even reportedly often travels in Monsanto's jet). There are other less noticeable connections too, such as Sharon Long, a former member of Monsanto's board of directors who was part of Obama's scientific advisory team during the election/campaign.
Let's Really Give Monsanto the Boot
This could be the beginning of the end for Monsanto … if we can continue to drive the momentum that's forming against the creation and proliferation of genetically modified organisms (GMOs).
The first step you have already done, and that is to get informed. You can continue to spread the word further by sharing this article with your friends and family.
Next, hit Monsanto where it counts ... their bottom line. By boycotting all GM foods and instead supporting organic (and local) farmers who do not use Monsanto's GM seeds, you are using your wallet to make your opinions known.
Most people want to avoid GMOs but it is virtually impossible to do so, since the government prevents GMO labeling.
However, Jeffery Smith has compiled a resource for you to avoid the government block of information. It is the free Non-GMO Shopping Guide. We realize that with the challenging economy it is very difficult for many to donate money to help this cause, so we are merely asking for your time and connections with your family and friends.
You can really help by making this message go viral. So if you are convinced that GMO foods should not be in the US, please send this information to everyone you know; post it on Facebook and Twitter…
You can also print out the Non-GMO Shopping Guide and give it to your friends and family.
If you feel more ambitious you can also order the Non-GMO Shopping Tips brochure in bulk, and bring them to the grocery stores in your area. Talk to the owner or manager and get permission to post them in their store.
October is Non-GMO Month! Here's How to Get Involved …
There are a number of different ways for you to get actively involved during Non-GMO (genetically modified organisms) Month … which may as well be called Non-Monsanto Month, too, given that they're the leader in the GMO industry. Here is a list of Action Item for you to pick and choose from:
Distribute WIDELY the Non-GMO Shopping Guide to help you identify and avoid foods with GMOs. Remember to look for products (including organic products) that feature the Non-GMO Project Verified Seal to be sure that at-risk ingredients have been tested for GMO content.
Download the Non-GMO Shopping Tips brochure and keep it with you whenever you shop, or download the free iPhone application that is available in the iTunes store. You can find it by searching for ShopNoGMO in the applications.
You can also order the Non-GMO Shopping Tips brochure in bulk and give it to your family and friends.
Urge food manufacturers to join the Non-GMO Project and become Non-GMO Project Verified. This is currently the only way for manufacturers to get around the fact that there's no GM-labeling system.
Urge your local food retailers to join the Non-GMO Project's Supporting Retailer Program.
If your budget allows support this urgent mission by generously donating to the Institute of Responsible Technology.
Bring the film Hidden Dangers in Kid's Meals to your local access TV station, or perhaps your child's school, along with some educational material specifically designed for teachers and educators.
Share Your Milk on Drugs - Just Say No!, and Jeffrey's lecture, Everything You Have to Know About Dangerous Genetically Modified Foods with everyone you know. Post them to your Facebook page, or email the links to your network of friends and family.
Join the Non-GMO Project on Facebook, http://www.facebook.com/nongmoproject or follow them on Twitter. http://twitter.com/NonGMOProject
Together, We Control the Future of Our Food
Please join us in this important campaign. Do as much or as little as you can. Maybe you can't make a donation to IRT, but you can distribute 20 Non-GMO shopping guides to your closest family and friends.
Plus, all orders placed through Mercola.com, starting October 6th, will receive a FREE, printed 16-page Non-GMO Shopping Guide.*
No purchase necessary. You may also download the Non-GMO Shopping Guide, for free, here. http://mercola.fileburst.com/PDF/GMObrochure.pdf
Please, support this urgent mission by donating to the Institute of Responsible Technology, http://www.firstgiving.com/instituteforresponsibletechnology a non-profit organization.
Together, we can make a difference. Together, we can reach the tipping point and push GMOs out of our food supply.
Related Links:
Why are Monsanto Insiders Now Appointed to Protect Your Food Safety? http://articles.mercola.com/sites/articles/archive/2009/10/10/Obama-Monsanto-Alliance-Too-Close-for-Comfort.aspx
France Finds Monsanto Guilty of Lying http://articles.mercola.com/sites/articles/archive/2009/11/21/france-finds-monsanto-guilty-of-lying.aspx
Monsanto's Many Attempts to Destroy All Seeds but Their Own http://articles.mercola.com/sites/articles/archive/2009/03/07/monsantos-many-attempts-to-destroy-all-seeds-but-their-own.aspx